Etzella Ettelbruck vs Wiltz: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Centre Sportif du Deich, Ettelbrück
The Footlab model makes Wiltz the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Etzella Ettelbruck. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etzella Ettelbruck vs Wiltz?
Wiltz starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,434 vs 1,323).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etzella Ettelbruck have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Wiltz have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | US Hostert(away) | 1-5 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 0-4 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 7-2 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Etzella Ettelbruck win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Wiltz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiltz 1-1 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Wiltz 3-0 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Etzella Ettelbruck 1-2 Wiltz | National Division |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Wiltz 1-2 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Etzella Ettelbruck 3-1 Wiltz | National Division |
| May 30, 2021 | Etzella Ettelbruck 1-3 Wiltz | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Wiltz vs Etzella Ettelbruck on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Etzella Ettelbruck score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wiltz score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etzella Ettelbruck | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Wiltz | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etzella Ettelbruck sit 12th in National Division (1 points from 3 matches) and Wiltz sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wiltz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Wiltz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
| 12 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 14 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etzella Ettelbruck vs Wiltz?
- The Footlab model makes Wiltz the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Etzella Ettelbruck.
- Where and when is Etzella Ettelbruck vs Wiltz played?
- Etzella Ettelbruck vs Wiltz is played on May 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Centre Sportif du Deich, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 23, 2027F91 DudelangevsAtert Bissen
- May 23, 2027FC Differdange 03vsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- May 23, 2027AS Jeunesse EschvsProgres Niederkorn
- May 23, 2027UN Kaerjeng 97vsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- May 23, 2027Victoria RosportvsUNA Strassen
- May 23, 2027US HostertvsRésidence Walferdange
- May 23, 2027Swift HesperangevsUS Rumelange