US Hostert vs Résidence Walferdange: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Becker, Hostert
The Footlab model makes US Hostert the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Résidence Walferdange. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Hostert vs Résidence Walferdange?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate US Hostert (1,436) and Résidence Walferdange (1,353).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Hostert have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Résidence Walferdange have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 5-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-4 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atert Bissen(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 US Hostert win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Résidence Walferdange win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange 3-2 US Hostert | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Résidence Walferdange vs US Hostert on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
US Hostert score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Résidence Walferdange score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Hostert | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Résidence Walferdange | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Hostert sit 10th in National Division (3 points from 3 matches) and Résidence Walferdange sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Résidence Walferdange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | US Hostert | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 6 |
| 8 | Résidence Walferdange | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | US Hostert | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Hostert vs Résidence Walferdange?
- The Footlab model makes US Hostert the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Résidence Walferdange.
- Where and when is US Hostert vs Résidence Walferdange played?
- US Hostert vs Résidence Walferdange is played on May 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Becker, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 23, 2027F91 DudelangevsAtert Bissen
- May 23, 2027FC Differdange 03vsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- May 23, 2027AS Jeunesse EschvsProgres Niederkorn
- May 23, 2027UN Kaerjeng 97vsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- May 23, 2027Victoria RosportvsUNA Strassen
- May 23, 2027Etzella EttelbruckvsWiltz
- May 23, 2027Swift HesperangevsUS Rumelange