AS Jeunesse Esch vs US Hostert: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Frontière, Esch-sur-Alzette
The Footlab model makes AS Jeunesse Esch the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for US Hostert. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Jeunesse Esch vs US Hostert?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate AS Jeunesse Esch (1,493) and US Hostert (1,417).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Jeunesse Esch have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; US Hostert have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(home) | 1-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UNA Strassen(away) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atert Bissen(home) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Berdenia Berbourg(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 5-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-4 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AS Jeunesse Esch win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 US Hostert win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch 2-3 US Hostert | National Division |
| Sep 28, 2025 | US Hostert 1-3 AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| Mar 8, 2025 | AS Jeunesse Esch 0-3 US Hostert | National Division |
| Sep 14, 2024 | US Hostert 0-0 AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2023 | AS Jeunesse Esch 5-0 US Hostert | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 19, 2023 | US Hostert 0-1 AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
Last archived meeting: AS Jeunesse Esch vs US Hostert on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AS Jeunesse Esch score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; US Hostert score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Jeunesse Esch | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| US Hostert | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Jeunesse Esch sit 13th in National Division (0 points from 3 matches) and US Hostert sit 10th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | US Hostert | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
| 13 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Jeunesse Esch vs US Hostert?
- The Footlab model makes AS Jeunesse Esch the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for US Hostert.
- Where and when is AS Jeunesse Esch vs US Hostert played?
- AS Jeunesse Esch vs US Hostert is played on September 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Frontière, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026F91 DudelangevsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Sep 16, 2026Progres NiederkornvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Sep 16, 2026FC Differdange 03vsSwift Hesperange
- Sep 16, 2026UNA StrassenvsUS Rumelange
- Sep 16, 2026Victoria RosportvsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Sep 16, 2026Atert BissenvsWiltz
- Sep 16, 2026Résidence WalferdangevsUS Mondorf-les-bains