AS Marsa vs Club Africain: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Abdelaziz Chtioui, La Marsa
The Footlab model makes Club Africain the favourite at 48%, against 34% for a draw and 18% for AS Marsa. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Marsa vs Club Africain?
Club Africain starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Marsa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Club Africain have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CA Bizertin(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 12, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | CA Bizertin(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Olympique Béja(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | ES Tunis(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | AS Soliman(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 AS Marsa win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Club Africain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Club Africain 3-3 AS Marsa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AS Marsa 0-1 Club Africain | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Club Africain 1-0 AS Marsa | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Club Africain vs AS Marsa on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AS Marsa score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Club Africain score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Marsa | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Club Africain | 1.7 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Marsa sit 13th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Club Africain sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Africain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | AS Marsa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Marsa vs Club Africain?
- The Footlab model makes Club Africain the favourite at 48%, against 34% for a draw and 18% for AS Marsa.
- Where and when is AS Marsa vs Club Africain played?
- AS Marsa vs Club Africain is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Abdelaziz Chtioui, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.