ES Metlaoui vs CA Bizertin: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal de Métlaoui, Métlaoui
The Footlab model makes ES Metlaoui the favourite at 47%, against 35% for a draw and 17% for CA Bizertin. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Metlaoui vs CA Bizertin?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate ES Metlaoui (1,772) and CA Bizertin (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Metlaoui have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; CA Bizertin have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Club Africain(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | ES Tunis(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| May 14, 2026 | JS Kairouanaise(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | US Monastirienne(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Marsa(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | ES Sahel(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | AS Marsa(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ES Metlaoui win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 CA Bizertin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | CA Bizertin 0-0 ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | ES Metlaoui 0-0 CA Bizertin | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | ES Metlaoui 2-0 CA Bizertin | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | CA Bizertin 1-1 ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | ES Metlaoui 2-2 CA Bizertin | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 6, 2024 | CA Bizertin 2-0 ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: CA Bizertin vs ES Metlaoui on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ES Metlaoui score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CA Bizertin score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 20% probability of over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Metlaoui | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| CA Bizertin | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Metlaoui sit 15th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and CA Bizertin sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CA Bizertin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | ES Metlaoui | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Metlaoui vs CA Bizertin?
- The Footlab model makes ES Metlaoui the favourite at 47%, against 35% for a draw and 17% for CA Bizertin.
- Where and when is ES Metlaoui vs CA Bizertin played?
- ES Metlaoui vs CA Bizertin is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal de Métlaoui, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 20% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.