ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade olympique Hammadi-Agrebi, Radès
The Footlab AI model makes ES Tunis the favourite at 73%, against 20% for a draw and 7% for ES Zarzis. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis?
ES Tunis starts as the favourite with a 239-point Elo edge (1,986 vs 1,747).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ES Tunis
4-3-3- 7I. Faraj
- 27H. Mastouri
- 11Y. Belaïli
- 8H. Rafia
- 16J. Castillo
- 21A. Konaté
- 25R. Chikhaoui
- 12N. Laifi
- 13M. Dräger
- 6H. Jelassi
- 32B. Ben Saïd
ES Zarzis
4-2-1-3- 9K. Sowe
- 7O. Hamdi
- 10H. Jertila
- 17D. Nyengue
- 26Y. El Kassah
- 20M. Smaali
- 29Pape Toure
- 25J. Belkilani
- 30Sadok Touj
- 35Hazem Mounadi
- 22S. Charfi
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Tunis have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; ES Zarzis have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Asswehly(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Olympique Béja(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AS Marsa(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Réal Bamako(home) | 1-3 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | US Monastirienne(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Diambars(away) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 ES Tunis wins, 2 draws, 1 ES Zarzis win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | ES Zarzis 0-1 ES Tunis | Cup |
| Apr 23, 2026 | ES Tunis 2-2 ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | ES Zarzis 0-0 ES Tunis | Ligue 1 |
| May 18, 2025 | ES Tunis 3-1 ES Zarzis | Cup |
| Feb 19, 2025 | ES Tunis 4-2 ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | ES Zarzis 1-0 ES Tunis | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: ES Zarzis vs ES Tunis on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ES Tunis score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; ES Zarzis score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Tunis | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| ES Zarzis | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Tunis sit 2nd in Ligue 1 (12 points from 5 matches) and ES Zarzis sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ES Tunis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 12 | ES Zarzis | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
A question about ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis?
- The Footlab AI model makes ES Tunis the favourite at 73%, against 20% for a draw and 7% for ES Zarzis.
- Where and when is ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis played?
- ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade olympique Hammadi-Agrebi, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.