Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs US Ben Guerdane: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal Sakiet Eddaier, Sakiet Eddaïer
The Footlab AI model makes Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for US Ben Guerdane. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs US Ben Guerdane?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer (1,814) and US Ben Guerdane (1,757).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs US Ben Guerdane
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
4-2-3-1- 9M. Omri
- 22M. Laajili
- 7H. Ben Ameur
- 25F. Ajroudi
- 10L. Bouraoui
- HH. Montassar
- 2A. Ba
- 5B. I. Bationo
- 34H. Rebaii
- 21A. Wassim
- 44A. Chouaya
US Ben Guerdane
4-3-3- 7A. M'Ghezzi Bakhouche
- 33N. Chachia
- 17A. Amri
- 10Ghazi Ayadi
- 8M. Camara
- 21G. Mounguide
- 30D. Oboh
- 25S. Harabi
- 14M. Yeken
- 5T. El Islem
- 31L. Hammami
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; US Ben Guerdane have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Olympique Béja(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | AS Marsa(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Club Africain(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | US Monastirienne(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Olympique Béja(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer score 2.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; US Ben Guerdane score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 2.0 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| US Ben Guerdane | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer sit 2nd in Ligue 1 (11 points from 5 matches) and US Ben Guerdane sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
| 3 | US Ben Guerdane | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
A question about Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs US Ben Guerdane?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs US Ben Guerdane?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for US Ben Guerdane.
- Where and when is Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs US Ben Guerdane played?
- Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs US Ben Guerdane is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal Sakiet Eddaier, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.