ES Sahel vs Stade Tunisien: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Olympique de Sousse, Sousse (Sūsah)
The Footlab AI model makes ES Sahel the favourite at 39%, against 34% for a draw and 27% for Stade Tunisien. The most likely score is 0-0. If ES Sahel wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,223 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Sahel vs Stade Tunisien?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate ES Sahel (1,747) and Stade Tunisien (1,842).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ES Sahel vs Stade Tunisien
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ES Sahel
4-3-3- 7A. Ben Dhiaf
- 9M. Chaabani
- 29M. Senghor
- 25Ousmane Diakhate
- 30Rayane Anane
- 8O. Abid
- 2W. Kechrida
- 15B. Diarra
- 5K. Lanquetin
- 14N. Ferjani
- 16S. Ben Hsan
Stade Tunisien
4-2-3-1- 7W. Ouerghemmi
- 34Mame Thioune
- 6P. Diop
- 21Yusuf Touré
- 14Salifou Tapsoba
- 12Y. Oumarou
- 3A. Saihi
- 24R. Derbali
- 25S. Sghaier
- 19Fedi Abdi
- 22N. Farhati
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 06:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Sahel have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Stade Tunisien have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Olympique Béja(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AS Marsa(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | US Monastirienne(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ES Sahel win, 2 draws, 3 Stade Tunisien wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Stade Tunisien 1-1 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 1, 2025 | ES Sahel 1-1 Stade Tunisien | Ligue 1 |
| May 18, 2025 | ES Sahel 0-1 Stade Tunisien | Cup |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Stade Tunisien 1-3 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | ES Sahel 0-1 Stade Tunisien | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 23, 2024 | ES Sahel 2-4 Stade Tunisien | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Stade Tunisien vs ES Sahel on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ES Sahel score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Tunisien score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Sahel | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Stade Tunisien | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Sahel sit 11th in Ligue 1 (7 points from 6 matches) and Stade Tunisien sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Stade Tunisien | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | ES Sahel | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
A question about ES Sahel vs Stade Tunisien?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Sahel vs Stade Tunisien?
- The Footlab AI model makes ES Sahel the favourite at 39%, against 34% for a draw and 27% for Stade Tunisien.
- Where and when is ES Sahel vs Stade Tunisien played?
- ES Sahel vs Stade Tunisien is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Olympique de Sousse, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.