AS Roma vs CSKA Moscow: result 5-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup stage - 1Kick-off on September 17, 2014 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Full time
What was the result of AS Roma vs CSKA Moscow?
AS Roma won 5-1 on September 17, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 6′J. IturbeAS Roma
- 10′Y. GervinhoAS Roma
- 20′Maicon Douglas SisenandoAS Roma
- 31′Y. GervinhoAS Roma
- 50′Sergei IgnashevichAS Roma (o.g.)
- 82′A. MusaCSKA Moscow
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Roma have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; CSKA Moscow have 3, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2014 | Empoli(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Fiorentina(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| May 18, 2014 | Genoa(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 11, 2014 | Juventus(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 4, 2014 | Catania(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2013 | Plzen(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 27, 2013 | Bayern München(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 5, 2013 | Manchester City(away) | 2-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 23, 2013 | Manchester City(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 2, 2013 | Plzen(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
AS Roma score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Moscow score 1.4 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| CSKA Moscow | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/14 | 11/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy