AS Roma vs Real Madrid: result 3-4 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Full time
What was the result of AS Roma vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid won 3-4 on October 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 20′M. de RoonAS Roma
- 25′Kylian MbappéReal Madrid
- 51′D. MalenAS Roma
- 57′D. MalenAS Roma
- 83′Carlos EspíReal Madrid
- 85′EndrickReal Madrid
- 90′A. RüdigerReal Madrid
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Real Madrid win at 50%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-4.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for AS Roma vs Real Madrid
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
AS Roma
3-4-2-1- 14D. Malen
- 21P. Dybala
- 18M. Soulé
- 20N. Molina
- 17M. Koné
- 15M. de Roon
- 43Wesley
- 22Hermoso
- 5E. Ndicka
- 23G. Mancini
- 95P. Gollini
Real Madrid
4-2-3-1- 10Kylian Mbappé
- 7Vinícius Júnior
- 5J. Bellingham
- 25Y. Diomande
- 14A. Tchouaméni
- 8F. Valverde
- 17Marc Cucurella
- 22A. Rüdiger
- 16I. Konaté
- 24D. Dumfries
- 1T. Courtois
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Roma have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Real Madrid have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Como(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Torino(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Elche(away) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 4-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 AS Roma wins, 0 draws, 5 Real Madrid wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2018 | AS Roma 0-2 Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 19, 2018 | Real Madrid 3-0 AS Roma | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2018 | Real Madrid 2-1 AS Roma | International Champions Cup |
| Mar 8, 2016 | Real Madrid 2-0 AS Roma | UEFA Champions League |
| Feb 17, 2016 | AS Roma 0-2 Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
Last archived meeting: AS Roma vs Real Madrid on Nov 27, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
AS Roma score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid score 2.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Madrid | 2.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Roma sit 25th in UEFA Champions League (1 point from 2 matches) and Real Madrid sit 8th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 25 | AS Roma | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
A question about AS Roma vs Real Madrid?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy