Asane vs Sogndal: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Åsane Arena, Bergen
The Footlab model makes Asane the favourite at 46%, against 21% for a draw and 33% for Sogndal. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Asane vs Sogndal?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Asane (1,723) and Sogndal (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asane have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sogndal have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arna-Bjørnar(away) | 1-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Raufoss(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kongsvinger(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ODD Ballklubb(away) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Egersund(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fjøra(away) | 8-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sandnes ULF(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bryne(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lyn(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ranheim(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Asane win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sogndal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Sogndal 2-0 Asane | 1. Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Sogndal 1-1 Asane | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Asane 1-1 Sogndal | 1. Division |
| May 16, 2025 | Sogndal 2-0 Asane | 1. Division |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Asane 4-0 Sogndal | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Sogndal 0-2 Asane | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Asane score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sogndal score 2.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asane | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Sogndal | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Asane sit 14th in 1. Division (17 points from 18 matches) and Sogndal sit 10th (21 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sogndal | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 43 | 21 |
| 12 | Sogndal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 14 | Asane | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 40 | 17 |
| 14 | Asane | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Asane vs Sogndal?
- The Footlab model makes Asane the favourite at 46%, against 21% for a draw and 33% for Sogndal.
- Where and when is Asane vs Sogndal played?
- Asane vs Sogndal is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Åsane Arena, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.