Asane vs Sogndal: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Åsane Arena, Bergen
The Footlab AI model makes Sogndal the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Asane. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sogndal wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Asane vs Sogndal?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Asane (1,700) and Sogndal (1,747).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Asane vs Sogndal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Asane
4-3-3- 9E. Grønner
- 11L. Rossi
- 20S. Nygård
- 8J. Eikrem
- 6S. Brudvik
- 5Einar Iversen
- 10K. Barmen
- 22D. Møller Wolfe
- 15F. Oprea
- 14M. Haga
- 24M. Klausen
Sogndal
4-3-3- 9Kparobo Arierhi
- 15O. Helen
- 20P. Asp
- 10K. Skaanes
- 16L. Vapne
- 19T. Pippola
- 4E. Hovland
- 32M. Øren
- 23A. Barkarson
- 88R. Onyango
- 1L. Jendal
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asane have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Sogndal have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stromsgodset(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bryne(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sandviken(away) | 2-2 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ranheim(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 5, 2026 | hodd(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Stabaek(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sotra(away) | 1-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Strommen(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Haugesund(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Stromsgodset(home) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Asane wins, 2 draws, 2 Sogndal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Sogndal 2-0 Asane | 1. Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Sogndal 1-1 Asane | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Asane 1-1 Sogndal | 1. Division |
| May 16, 2025 | Sogndal 2-0 Asane | 1. Division |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Asane 4-0 Sogndal | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Sogndal 0-2 Asane | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Asane score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sogndal score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asane | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Sogndal | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Asane sit 15th in 1. Division (20 points from 24 matches) and Sogndal sit 14th (23 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Sogndal | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 53 | 23 |
| 15 | Asane | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 34 | 53 | 20 |
A question about Asane vs Sogndal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Asane vs Sogndal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sogndal the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Asane.
- Where and when is Asane vs Sogndal played?
- Asane vs Sogndal is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Åsane Arena, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.