Stabaek vs Strommen: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nadderud Stadion, Bærum
The Footlab model makes Stabaek the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for Strommen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stabaek vs Strommen?
Stabaek starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stabaek have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Strommen have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heming(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Egersund(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lyn(home) | 4-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Raufoss(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 27, 2026 | hodd(home) | 6-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lillehammer(away) | 4-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | hodd(away) | 3-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ranheim(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kongsvinger(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | ODD Ballklubb(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Stabaek win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Strommen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Strommen 1-0 Stabaek | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Stabaek score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Strommen score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stabaek | 2.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Strommen | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stabaek sit 1st in 1. Division (39 points from 18 matches) and Strommen sit 16th (15 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stabaek | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 39 |
| 5 | Stabaek | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 21 |
| 16 | Strommen | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 45 | 15 |
| 16 | Strommen | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stabaek vs Strommen?
- The Footlab model makes Stabaek the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for Strommen.
- Where and when is Stabaek vs Strommen played?
- Stabaek vs Strommen is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nadderud Stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.