Lyn vs Stromsgodset: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bislett Stadion, Oslo
The Footlab model makes Stromsgodset the favourite at 51%, against 20% for a draw and 28% for Lyn. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lyn vs Stromsgodset?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Lyn (1,795) and Stromsgodset (1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lyn have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Stromsgodset have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SF Grei(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ODD Ballklubb(home) | 5-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stabaek(away) | 3-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sogndal(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stromsgodset(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ranheim(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Egersund(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bryne(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lyn(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 4, 2026 | hodd(away) | 3-4 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lyn win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Stromsgodset win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stromsgodset 1-1 Lyn | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Lyn score 1.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Stromsgodset score 2.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyn | 1.8 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Stromsgodset | 2.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lyn sit 11th in 1. Division (20 points from 18 matches) and Stromsgodset sit 4th (35 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stromsgodset | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Stromsgodset | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 26 | 35 |
| 11 | Lyn | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 38 | 20 |
| 13 | Lyn | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lyn vs Stromsgodset?
- The Footlab model makes Stromsgodset the favourite at 51%, against 20% for a draw and 28% for Lyn.
- Where and when is Lyn vs Stromsgodset played?
- Lyn vs Stromsgodset is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bislett Stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.