Raufoss vs Moss: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)NAMMO stadion, Raufoss
The Footlab model makes Raufoss the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Moss. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Raufoss vs Moss?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Raufoss (1,719) and Moss (1,730).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raufoss have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Moss have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ridabu(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Asane(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Haugesund(away) | 2-7 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stabaek(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Moss(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lørenskog(away) | 3-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bryne(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | ODD Ballklubb(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | hodd(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Raufoss(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Raufoss win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Moss win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Moss 1-2 Raufoss | 1. Division |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Raufoss 3-3 Moss | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Moss 1-1 Raufoss | 1. Division |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Raufoss 3-2 Moss | 1. Division |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Raufoss 1-0 Moss | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Moss 3-2 Raufoss | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Raufoss score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Moss score 1.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raufoss | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Moss | 1.7 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Raufoss sit 15th in 1. Division (16 points from 18 matches) and Moss sit 13th (18 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Moss | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 22 | 17 |
| 13 | Moss | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 41 | 18 |
| 15 | Raufoss | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 43 | 16 |
| 15 | Raufoss | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Raufoss vs Moss?
- The Footlab model makes Raufoss the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Moss.
- Where and when is Raufoss vs Moss played?
- Raufoss vs Moss is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at NAMMO stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.