ASC Kara vs Diarra: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup2nd Preliminary RoundKick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Kara
The Footlab AI model makes ASC Kara the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Diarra. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASC Kara vs Diarra?
On Elo ratings, ASC Kara has 1,704 points and Diarra 1,639.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ASC Kara vs Diarra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ASC Kara
Not enough data to predict the ASC Kara lineup.
Diarra
Not enough data to predict the Diarra lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASC Kara have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Diarra have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Diarra(away) | 2-3 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas(away) | 1-2 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AS ZAM(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas(home) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | AS ZAM(away) | 5-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | ASC Kara(home) | 3-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Nations(away) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nations(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Stade Malien Bamako(home) | 0-2 | Première Division |
| Jun 9, 2026 | US Bougouba(away) | 6-2 | Première Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 ASC Kara wins, 0 draws, 1 Diarra win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Diarra 3-2 ASC Kara | CAF Confederation Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
ASC Kara score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Diarra score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASC Kara | 1.6 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Diarra | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about ASC Kara vs Diarra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASC Kara vs Diarra?
- The Footlab AI model makes ASC Kara the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Diarra.
- Where and when is ASC Kara vs Diarra played?
- ASC Kara vs Diarra is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.