Ashdod vs Ironi Modi'in: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 29, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Yud-Alef Stadium, Ashdod
The Footlab model makes Ashdod the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Ironi Modi'in. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashdod vs Ironi Modi'in?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Ashdod (1,712) and Ironi Modi'in (1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashdod have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Ironi Modi'in have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(home) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 18, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 3-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 13, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(home) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 10, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Saba(away) | 4-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maccabi Herzliya(home) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Nazareth Illit(away) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
How many goals should we expect?
Ashdod score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Modi'in score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashdod | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ironi Modi'in | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ashdod sit 11th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Ironi Modi'in sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ironi Modi'in | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Ashdod | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashdod vs Ironi Modi'in?
- The Footlab model makes Ashdod the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Ironi Modi'in.
- Where and when is Ashdod vs Ironi Modi'in played?
- Ashdod vs Ironi Modi'in is played on January 29, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Yud-Alef Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 29, 2027Hapoel AfulavsHapoel Acre
- Jan 29, 2027Kafr QasimvsMaccabi Kiryat Gat
- Jan 29, 2027Maccabi Ahi NazarethvsHapoel Rishon LeZion
- Jan 29, 2027Bnei YehudavsHapoel Kfar Saba
- Jan 29, 2027Hapoel Ra'ananavsMaccabi Bnei Raina
- Jan 29, 2027Maccabi Kabilio JaffavsHapoel Kfar Shalem
- Jan 29, 2027Kiryat Yam SCvsMaccabi Herzliya