Match

Ashdod vs Ironi Modi'in: prediction and stats

Liga LeumitRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 29, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Yud-Alef Stadium, Ashdod

AshdodIroni Modi'in

The Footlab model makes Ashdod the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Ironi Modi'in. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ashdod vs Ironi Modi'in?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Ashdod (1,712) and Ironi Modi'in (1,707).

Ashdod win36 %
Draw27 %
Ironi Modi'in win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashdod have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Ironi Modi'in have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ashdod
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(home)1-0Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026Hapoel Afula(away)0-2Liga Leumit
May 18, 2026Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away)3-2Ligat Ha'al
May 13, 2026Hapoel Katamon(home)0-1Ligat Ha'al
May 10, 2026Hapoel Haifa(away)0-1Ligat Ha'al
Ironi Modi'in
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Hapoel Kfar Saba(away)4-1Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026Maccabi Herzliya(home)0-2Liga Leumit
May 25, 2026Hapoel Ra'anana(away)0-2Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Hapoel Nazareth Illit(away)2-0Liga Leumit
May 14, 2026Hapoel Acre(home)0-1Liga Leumit

How many goals should we expect?

Ashdod score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Modi'in score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ashdod1.01.638/158/15
Ironi Modi'in0.90.954/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ashdod sit 11th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Ironi Modi'in sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Ironi Modi'in2101433
11Ashdod2101123

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ashdod vs Ironi Modi'in?
The Footlab model makes Ashdod the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Ironi Modi'in.
Where and when is Ashdod vs Ironi Modi'in played?
Ashdod vs Ironi Modi'in is played on January 29, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Yud-Alef Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ashdod and Ironi Modi'in

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