Workington vs Ashton United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Borough Park, Workington, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Workington the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Ashton United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Workington wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Workington vs Ashton United?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Workington (1,791) and Ashton United (1,797).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Workington vs Ashton United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Workington
Not enough data to predict the Workington lineup.
Ashton United
Not enough data to predict the Ashton United lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Workington have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ashton United have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Workington wins, 2 draws, 2 Ashton United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ashton United 2-1 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Workington 1-1 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Workington 5-1 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Ashton United 3-0 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Ashton United 2-2 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Workington 5-0 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Ashton United vs Workington on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Workington score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ashton United score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workington | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Ashton United | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Workington sit 9th in Non League Premier - Northern (21 points from 14 matches) and Ashton United sit 15th (14 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Workington | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
| 15 | Ashton United | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Workington vs Ashton United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Workington vs Ashton United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Workington the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Ashton United.
- Where and when is Workington vs Ashton United played?
- Workington vs Ashton United is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.