Rylands vs Gainsborough Trinity: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hive Arena, Warrington, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Rylands the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Gainsborough Trinity. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rylands vs Gainsborough Trinity?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Rylands (1,818) and Gainsborough Trinity (1,791).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rylands have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Gainsborough Trinity have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bury(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Workington(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rylands win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Gainsborough Trinity win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity 0-0 Rylands | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Rylands 4-2 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Rylands 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Gainsborough Trinity 3-1 Rylands | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Rylands 1-4 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 Rylands | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Gainsborough Trinity vs Rylands on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rylands score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gainsborough Trinity score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylands | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Gainsborough Trinity | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rylands sit 12th in Non League Premier - Northern (6 points from 5 matches) and Gainsborough Trinity sit 8th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gainsborough Trinity | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 | Rylands | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rylands vs Gainsborough Trinity?
- The Footlab model makes Rylands the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Gainsborough Trinity.
- Where and when is Rylands vs Gainsborough Trinity played?
- Rylands vs Gainsborough Trinity is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hive Arena, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.