Astana II vs Ekibastuz: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Astana II the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Ekibastuz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Astana II vs Ekibastuz?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Astana II (1,198) and Ekibastuz (1,296).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Astana II have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Ekibastuz have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Shakhter Karagandy(away) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Tobol 2(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Turan Turkistan(away) | 1-5 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Arys(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Akademiya Ontustik(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Akademiya Ontustik(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jaiyq(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Aktobe Jas(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 2(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Kaspij Aktau 2(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Astana II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Ekibastuz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Ekibastuz 1-1 Astana II | 1. Division |
| Jul 27, 2023 | Ekibastuz 2-3 Astana II | 1. Division |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Astana II 0-2 Ekibastuz | 1. Division |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Ekibastuz 2-2 Astana II | 1. Division |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Astana II 3-0 Ekibastuz | 1. Division |
| Aug 17, 2019 | Ekibastuz 1-0 Astana II | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Ekibastuz vs Astana II on Jun 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Astana II score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ekibastuz score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astana II | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Ekibastuz | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Astana II sit 6th in 1. Division (26 points from 19 matches) and Ekibastuz sit 7th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Astana II | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 26 |
| 7 | Ekibastuz | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 34 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Astana II vs Ekibastuz?
- The Footlab model makes Astana II the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Ekibastuz.
- Where and when is Astana II vs Ekibastuz played?
- Astana II vs Ekibastuz is played on September 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.