Akademiya Ontustik vs Jaiyq: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Namys, Shymkent
The Footlab model makes Akademiya Ontustik the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Jaiyq. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Akademiya Ontustik vs Jaiyq?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Akademiya Ontustik (1,329) and Jaiyq (1,314).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Akademiya Ontustik have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Jaiyq have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ekibastuz(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Sport Academy Kairat(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Khan Tengri(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Taraz(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Astana II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kaspij Aktau 2(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ekibastuz(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Taraz(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sport Academy Kairat(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Khan Tengri(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Akademiya Ontustik win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Jaiyq win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | Jaiyq 0-1 Akademiya Ontustik | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Jaiyq vs Akademiya Ontustik on Jun 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Akademiya Ontustik score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jaiyq score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akademiya Ontustik | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Jaiyq | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Akademiya Ontustik sit 4th in 1. Division (33 points from 19 matches) and Jaiyq sit 5th (27 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Akademiya Ontustik | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 25 | 33 |
| 5 | Jaiyq | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Akademiya Ontustik vs Jaiyq?
- The Footlab model makes Akademiya Ontustik the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Jaiyq.
- Where and when is Akademiya Ontustik vs Jaiyq played?
- Akademiya Ontustik vs Jaiyq is played on September 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Namys, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.