Coventry vs Sunderland: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, West Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes Coventry the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sunderland. The most likely score is 1-1. If Coventry wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coventry vs Sunderland?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Coventry (2,098) and Sunderland (2,159).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Coventry vs Sunderland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Coventry
3-4-2-1- 23B. Thomas-Asante
- 3J. Dasilva
- 6M. Grimes
- 5J. Rudoni
- 10E. Mason-Clark
- 16F. Onyeka
- 8Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
- 4B. Thomas
- 2E. Pinnock
- 24A. Amenda
- 19C. Rushworth
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 9B. Brobbey
- 27N. Sadiki
- 34G. Xhaka
- 28E. Le Fée
- 10N. Angulo
- 12T. Meunier
- 20N. Mukiele
- 4K. Danso
- 5D. Ballard
- 17Reinildo
- 22R. Roefs
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coventry have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sunderland have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 3-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Coventry wins, 3 draws, 1 Sunderland win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2025 | Sunderland 1-1 Coventry | Championship |
| May 9, 2025 | Coventry 1-2 Sunderland | Championship |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Coventry 3-0 Sunderland | Championship |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Sunderland 2-2 Coventry | Championship |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Sunderland 0-3 Coventry | Championship |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Coventry 0-0 Sunderland | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sunderland vs Coventry on May 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Coventry score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sunderland score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Sunderland | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coventry sit 18th in Premier League (3 points from 5 matches) and Sunderland sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 3 |
A question about Coventry vs Sunderland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coventry vs Sunderland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Coventry the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sunderland.
- Where and when is Coventry vs Sunderland played?
- Coventry vs Sunderland is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Coventry Building Society Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.