Athletic Club II vs Mérida AD: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 2, Lezama
The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Club II the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Mérida AD. The most likely score is 1-1. If Athletic Club II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Athletic Club II vs Mérida AD?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Athletic Club II (1,931) and Mérida AD (1,899).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Athletic Club II vs Mérida AD
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Athletic Club II
4-3-3- 6Eñaut Lete
- 19I. Oyono
- 22C. Mitogo
- 23J. Sola
- 8Adrian Perez
- 16S. Sanchez
- 15B. Larrea
- 28I. El Arbaoui
- 5Iker Monreal
- 2D. Perez
- 13Mikel Santos
Mérida AD
4-3-3- 24L. Koné
- 21Raúl Beneit
- 11S. El Ftouhi
- 6Jota
- 8Martín Solar
- 7J. Areso
- 4Gonzalez Nacho
- 5Hugo Sanz
- 14Hugo
- 20Barbu
- 1A. Csenterics
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Club II have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Mérida AD have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(away) | 4-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Athletic Club II win, 1 draw, 0 Mérida AD wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Athletic Club II 1-1 Mérida AD | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Mérida AD 2-3 Athletic Club II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Athletic Club II vs Mérida AD on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Club II score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mérida AD score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club II | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Mérida AD | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athletic Club II sit 6th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (15 points from 10 matches) and Mérida AD sit 12th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Athletic Club II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 15 |
| 12 | Mérida AD | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Athletic Club II vs Mérida AD?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Athletic Club II vs Mérida AD?
- The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Club II the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Mérida AD.
- Where and when is Athletic Club II vs Mérida AD played?
- Athletic Club II vs Mérida AD is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 2, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.