Match

Zamora vs Mirandes: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora

ZamoraMirandes

The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Mirandes. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zamora vs Mirandes?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Zamora (1,973) and Mirandes (1,877).

Zamora win52 %
Draw27 %
Mirandes win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zamora have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Mirandes have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zamora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Real Madrid II(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 19, 2026Sabadell(away)0-4Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 13, 2026Sabadell(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 7, 2026Villarreal II(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
May 31, 2026Villarreal II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Mirandes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026UD Logroñés(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026La Calzada(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Real Madrid II(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 13, 2026Atlético Madrid II(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Osasuna II(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Zamora score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mirandes score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zamora1.41.166/158/15
Mirandes1.31.539/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Zamora38171011534261

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zamora vs Mirandes?
The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Mirandes.
Where and when is Zamora vs Mirandes played?
Zamora vs Mirandes is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Zamora and Mirandes

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