Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)San Mamés Barria, Bilbao
The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Celta Vigo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Athletic Club wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo?
On Elo ratings, Athletic Club has 2,109 points and Celta Vigo 2,095.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1- 21Maroan Sannadi
- 7Álex Berenguer
- 9I. Williams
- 28Peio Canales
- 10Nico Williams
- 24Beñat Gerenabarrena
- 15Hugo Rincón
- 17Yuri
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 3Dani Vivian
- 1Unai Simón
Celta Vigo
3-4-3- 23Hugo Álvarez
- 9Ferran Jutglà
- 16Hugo González
- 6I. Moriba
- 17Javi Rueda
- 14Aleix Febas
- 22Javi Galán
- 18Yoel Lago
- 20Javi Rodríguez
- 21S. Cáceres
- 13I. Radu
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 03:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Club have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Celta Vigo have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Prat(away) | 6-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Levante(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Celtic(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Athletic Club wins, 1 draw, 2 Celta Vigo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Celta Vigo 0-2 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| May 17, 2026 | Athletic Club 1-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Celta Vigo 2-0 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Celta Vigo 1-2 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Athletic Club 3-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| May 15, 2024 | Celta Vigo 2-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club on Aug 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Club score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Celta Vigo score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Celta Vigo | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athletic Club sit 7th in La Liga (15 points from 10 matches) and Celta Vigo sit 10th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Celta Vigo.
- Where and when is Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo played?
- Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at San Mamés Barria, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.