Villarreal vs Valencia: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Valencia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villarreal wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarreal vs Valencia?
On Elo ratings, Villarreal has 2,155 points and Valencia 2,072.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villarreal vs Valencia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villarreal
4-4-2- 7Gerard Moreno
- 22Ayoze Pérez
- 16C. Macia
- 17T. Buchanan
- 14Santi Comesaña
- 10Alberto Moleiro
- 15S. Mouriño
- 12Renato Veiga
- 23Sergi Cardona
- 6Pau Navarro
- 25P. Gulácsi
Valencia
4-4-2- 8Javi Guerra
- 7A. Danjuma
- 24Pablo Carmine Maffeo Becerra
- 2G. Rodríguez
- 11Luis Rioja
- 33Aaron Mayol
- 18Pepelu
- 14José Gayà
- 5César Tárrega
- 12J. de Haas
- 1S. Dimitrievski
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 03:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarreal have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Valencia have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 0-6 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 5-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Elche(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-3 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Villarreal wins, 2 draws, 0 Valencia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Valencia 1-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Villarreal 2-1 Valencia | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Valencia 0-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Villarreal 1-1 Valencia | La Liga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Valencia 1-1 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Villarreal 1-0 Valencia | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Valencia vs Villarreal on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villarreal score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Valencia score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Valencia | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarreal sit 9th in La Liga (12 points from 11 matches) and Valencia sit 19th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 9 |
A question about Villarreal vs Valencia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarreal vs Valencia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Valencia.
- Where and when is Villarreal vs Valencia played?
- Villarreal vs Valencia is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Cerámica, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.