Malaga vs Real Betis: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga
The Footlab AI model makes Real Betis the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Malaga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Betis wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,688 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malaga vs Real Betis?
Real Betis starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (2,239 vs 2,033).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Malaga vs Real Betis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Malaga
4-1-4-1- 21Adrián Niño Heredia
- 10David Larrubia
- 8Carlos Dotor
- 22Dani Lorenzo
- 18Pablo Martínez
- 6Ramón Enríquez
- 15Ángel Recio
- 31Rafita
- 3Puga
- 4Einar Galilea
- 1Alfonso Herrero
Real Betis
4-2-3-1- 18N. Deossa
- 10A. Ezzalzouli
- 21Marc Roca
- 22Isco
- 7Antony
- 25Dani Ceballos
- 4Natan
- 3Diego Llorente
- 16V. Gómez
- 11Fran García
- 1Álvaro Vallés
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 05:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malaga have 1 win, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Real Betis have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-5 | La Liga |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 2-5 | La Liga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Osasuna(home) | 5-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Malaga wins, 0 draws, 4 Real Betis wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Malaga 3-1 Real Betis | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 30, 2018 | Real Betis 2-1 Malaga | La Liga |
| Dec 18, 2017 | Malaga 0-2 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Feb 28, 2017 | Malaga 1-2 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Sep 23, 2016 | Real Betis 1-0 Malaga | La Liga |
| Mar 19, 2016 | Real Betis 0-1 Malaga | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Malaga score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Betis score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Betis | 1.7 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malaga sit 20th in La Liga (5 points from 10 matches) and Real Betis sit 4th (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 20 |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 5 |
A question about Malaga vs Real Betis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malaga vs Real Betis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Betis the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Malaga.
- Where and when is Malaga vs Real Betis played?
- Malaga vs Real Betis is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Rosaleda, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.