Where and when is Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC played?

Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

Atlanta United FC

Toronto FC

The Footlab model makes Atlanta United FC the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Toronto FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Atlanta United FC (1,698) and Toronto FC (1,784).

Atlanta United FC win43 %

Draw27 %

Toronto FC win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlanta United FC have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Toronto FC have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlanta United FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sporting Kansas City(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Minnesota United FC(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	New York Red Bulls(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	Philadelphia Union(away)	2-3	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	New England Revolution(away)	1-4	Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Inter Miami(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Charlotte(home)	3-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	New England Revolution(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2026	New York City FC(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	DC United(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atlanta United FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Toronto FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Toronto FC 1-2 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer
Aug 24, 2025	Atlanta United FC 0-0 Toronto FC	Major League Soccer
Jul 12, 2025	Toronto FC 1-1 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer
Jun 29, 2024	Atlanta United FC 2-1 Toronto FC	Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2024	Toronto FC 2-0 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer
Apr 15, 2023	Toronto FC 2-2 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlanta United FC score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Toronto FC score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atlanta United FC	1.5	1.7	1	12/15	11/15
Toronto FC	1.5	1.9	2	13/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlanta United FC sit 12th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 21 matches) and Toronto FC sit 10th (24 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Toronto FC	21	5	9	7	31	37	24
12	Atlanta United FC	21	6	3	12	25	36	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?: The Footlab model makes Atlanta United FC the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Toronto FC.
Where and when is Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC played?: Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.