Where and when is FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union played?

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union is played on October 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at TQL Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio

FC Cincinnati

Philadelphia Union

The Footlab model makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Philadelphia Union. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate FC Cincinnati (1,852) and Philadelphia Union (1,782).

FC Cincinnati win50 %

Draw22 %

Philadelphia Union win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cincinnati have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Philadelphia Union have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Cincinnati
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Seattle Sounders(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	New York City FC(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Orlando City SC(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Atlas(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026	U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)	2-0	Leagues Cup

Philadelphia Union
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Austin(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Inter Miami(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	New York City FC(away)	3-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Santos Laguna(home)	0-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Necaxa(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Cincinnati win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Philadelphia Union win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 30, 2025	FC Cincinnati 0-1 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025	Philadelphia Union 4-1 FC Cincinnati	Major League Soccer
Feb 7, 2025	FC Cincinnati 4-1 Philadelphia Union	Friendlies Clubs
Oct 20, 2024	Philadelphia Union 1-2 FC Cincinnati	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2024	FC Cincinnati 2-4 Philadelphia Union	Leagues Cup
Jun 19, 2024	FC Cincinnati 4-3 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union on Aug 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

FC Cincinnati score 2.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Philadelphia Union score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Cincinnati	2.6	1.9	1	14/15	12/15
Philadelphia Union	1.7	1.8	2	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Cincinnati sit 6th in Major League Soccer (31 points from 21 matches) and Philadelphia Union sit 12th (21 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	FC Cincinnati	21	8	7	6	49	47	31
12	Philadelphia Union	21	5	6	10	31	38	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?: The Footlab model makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Philadelphia Union.
Where and when is FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union played?: FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union is played on October 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at TQL Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.