Match

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio

FC CincinnatiPhiladelphia Union

The Footlab AI model makes Philadelphia Union the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for FC Cincinnati. The most likely score is 1-1. If Philadelphia Union wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,640 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate FC Cincinnati (1,865) and Philadelphia Union (1,949).

33%22%45%
FC Cincinnati winDrawPhiladelphia Union win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Cincinnati

3-5-2
  1. 9K. Denkey
  2. 16T. Barlow
  1. 5O. Nwobodo
  2. 22G. Valenzuela
  3. 3T. Malacia
  4. 66E. Echenique
  5. 11S. Gidi
  1. 15T. Hadebe
  2. 24K. Smith
  3. 12M. Robinson
  1. 13E. Louro

Philadelphia Union

4-4-2
  1. 9B. Damiani
  2. 10M. Iloski
  1. 4J. Lukić
  2. 6Cavan Sullivan
  3. 19I. Vassilev
  4. 21D. Jean-Jacques
  1. 27K. Wagner
  2. 26N. Harriel
  3. 39F. Westfield
  4. 44Neil Pierre
  1. 18A. Blake

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:09 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cincinnati have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Philadelphia Union have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026New England Revolution(home)2-3Major League Soccer
Oct 10, 2026Atlanta United FC(away)3-1Major League Soccer
Sep 26, 2026CF Montreal(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Houston Dynamo(away)2-2Major League Soccer
Sep 12, 2026Charlotte(home)3-3Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Charlotte(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Oct 15, 2026Chicago Fire(away)3-1Major League Soccer
Oct 10, 2026Real Salt Lake(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 26, 2026Orlando City SC(home)4-2Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Sporting Kansas City(away)4-3Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Cincinnati wins, 0 draws, 4 Philadelphia Union wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 9, 2026Philadelphia Union 5-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
Aug 30, 2025FC Cincinnati 0-1 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025Philadelphia Union 4-1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
Feb 7, 2025FC Cincinnati 4-1 Philadelphia UnionFriendlies Clubs
Oct 20, 2024Philadelphia Union 1-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
Aug 13, 2024FC Cincinnati 2-4 Philadelphia UnionLeagues Cup

Last archived meeting: Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati on Sep 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Cincinnati score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Philadelphia Union score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Cincinnati1.72.1112/1512/15
Philadelphia Union2.61.3310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Cincinnati sit 9th in Major League Soccer (36 points from 28 matches) and Philadelphia Union sit 6th (46 points from 30 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Philadelphia Union3013710614846
9FC Cincinnati289910606836

A question about FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?
The Footlab AI model makes Philadelphia Union the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for FC Cincinnati.
Where and when is FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union played?
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union is played on October 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at TQL Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union

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