Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, California
The Footlab model makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Austin. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Los Angeles Galaxy (1,764) and Austin (1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Angeles Galaxy have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Austin have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 0-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Club America(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Los Angeles Galaxy win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Austin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Austin 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 Austin | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Austin 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Austin | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 Austin | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Austin 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Austin vs Los Angeles Galaxy on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Los Angeles Galaxy score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Austin score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Austin | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Angeles Galaxy sit 12th in Major League Soccer (26 points from 22 matches) and Austin sit 14th (21 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 32 | 26 |
| 14 | Austin | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 40 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin?
- The Footlab model makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Austin.
- Where and when is Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin played?
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin is played on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Dignity Health Sports Park, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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