St. Louis City vs San Diego: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)CITYPARK, St. Louis, Missouri
The Footlab model makes St. Louis City the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for San Diego. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St. Louis City vs San Diego?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate St. Louis City (1,803) and San Diego (1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Louis City have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; San Diego have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Sporting Kansas City(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(away) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Colorado Rapids(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Colorado Rapids(home) | 3-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Portland Timbers(away) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 3-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 St. Louis City win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 San Diego win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | San Diego 2-0 St. Louis City | Major League Soccer |
| May 11, 2025 | St. Louis City 1-2 San Diego | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 2, 2025 | San Diego 0-0 St. Louis City | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: San Diego vs St. Louis City on Mar 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
St. Louis City score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; San Diego score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| San Diego | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
St. Louis City sit 6th in Major League Soccer (33 points from 21 matches) and San Diego sit 11th (27 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | St. Louis City | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
| 11 | San Diego | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 37 | 32 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St. Louis City vs San Diego?
- The Footlab model makes St. Louis City the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for San Diego.
- Where and when is St. Louis City vs San Diego played?
- St. Louis City vs San Diego is played on October 31, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at CITYPARK, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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