Match

Charlotte vs Orlando City SC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina

CharlotteOrlando City SC

The Footlab model makes Charlotte the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Orlando City SC. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Charlotte vs Orlando City SC?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Charlotte (1,832) and Orlando City SC (1,802).

Charlotte win56 %
Draw22 %
Orlando City SC win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlotte have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Orlando City SC have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Charlotte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026DC United(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026Toronto FC(away)3-3Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026Columbus Crew(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Aug 11, 2026CF Pachuca(home)0-1Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026Atlas(home)2-0Leagues Cup
Orlando City SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Real Salt Lake(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026Chicago Fire(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026FC Cincinnati(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026Atletico San Luis(home)2-2Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026Leon(home)1-2Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Charlotte win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Orlando City SC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 22, 2026Orlando City SC 4-1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
Jul 5, 2025Charlotte 2-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
May 14, 2025Orlando City SC 3-1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
Nov 9, 2024Orlando City SC 1-1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
Nov 1, 2024Charlotte 0-0 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
Oct 27, 2024Orlando City SC 2-0 CharlotteMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Orlando City SC vs Charlotte on Apr 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Charlotte score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Orlando City SC score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Charlotte1.71.147/158/15
Orlando City SC2.11.9212/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Charlotte sit 5th in Major League Soccer (32 points from 21 matches) and Orlando City SC sit 9th (24 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Charlotte21957383232
9Orlando City SC217311345124

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Charlotte vs Orlando City SC?
The Footlab model makes Charlotte the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Orlando City SC.
Where and when is Charlotte vs Orlando City SC played?
Charlotte vs Orlando City SC is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Bank of America Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Charlotte and Orlando City SC

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