Charlotte vs Orlando City SC: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
The Footlab model makes Charlotte the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Orlando City SC. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charlotte vs Orlando City SC?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Charlotte (1,832) and Orlando City SC (1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlotte have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Orlando City SC have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | DC United(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Toronto FC(away) | 3-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Columbus Crew(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 0-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(home) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chicago Fire(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 2-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leon(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Charlotte win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Orlando City SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Orlando City SC 4-1 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Charlotte 2-2 Orlando City SC | Major League Soccer |
| May 14, 2025 | Orlando City SC 3-1 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Orlando City SC 1-1 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Charlotte 0-0 Orlando City SC | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Orlando City SC 2-0 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Orlando City SC vs Charlotte on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Charlotte score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Orlando City SC score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Orlando City SC | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charlotte sit 5th in Major League Soccer (32 points from 21 matches) and Orlando City SC sit 9th (24 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Charlotte | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 32 | 32 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 51 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charlotte vs Orlando City SC?
- The Footlab model makes Charlotte the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Orlando City SC.
- Where and when is Charlotte vs Orlando City SC played?
- Charlotte vs Orlando City SC is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Bank of America Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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