Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
The Footlab model makes Atlante FC the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Santos Laguna. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna?
Atlante FC starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,948 vs 1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlante FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Santos Laguna have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Toluca(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(away) | 0-4 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Puebla(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(away) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Chicago Fire(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | New York City FC(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Atlante FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Santos Laguna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | Santos Laguna 0-3 Atlante FC | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Santos Laguna vs Atlante FC on Dec 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Atlante FC score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Santos Laguna score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlante FC | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Santos Laguna | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlante FC sit 10th in Liga MX (4 points from 3 matches) and Santos Laguna sit 17th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Atlante FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Atlante FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna?
- The Footlab model makes Atlante FC the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Santos Laguna.
- Where and when is Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna played?
- Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Banorte, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.