Atlas vs CF Pachuca: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
The Footlab AI model makes Atlas the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for CF Pachuca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlas vs CF Pachuca?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Atlas (1,872) and CF Pachuca (1,953).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlas vs CF Pachuca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlas
3-4-2-1- 9F. Monzón
- 10Luís Esteves
- 15Paulo Ramírez
- 18E. Montiel
- 3J. Sánchez
- 8R. Mmaee
- 20K. Zenón
- 44J. Purata
- 16M. Valenzuela
- 19A. Frías
- 12C. Vargas
CF Pachuca
4-2-3-1- 23S. Rondón
- 16C. Rivera
- 30S. Rodríguez
- 11O. Idrissi
- 7R. Pizarro
- 26Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
- 2S. Barreto
- 15F. Venegas
- 4Eduardo Bauermann
- 12S. Santos
- 25C. Moreno
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlas have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; CF Pachuca have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Club Tijuana(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 19, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 2-5 | Liga MX |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Necaxa(home) | 3-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santos Laguna(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlante FC(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atlas win, 1 draw, 4 CF Pachuca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | CF Pachuca 3-1 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Atlas 0-3 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CF Pachuca 0-0 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Atlas 2-0 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Feb 1, 2024 | CF Pachuca 4-3 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Nov 2, 2023 | Atlas 0-2 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlas score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; CF Pachuca score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| CF Pachuca | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlas sit 6th in Liga MX (18 points from 11 matches) and CF Pachuca sit 11th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Atlas vs CF Pachuca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlas vs CF Pachuca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlas the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for CF Pachuca.
- Where and when is Atlas vs CF Pachuca played?
- Atlas vs CF Pachuca is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Jalisco, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.