Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
The Footlab model makes Atlante FC the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for U.N.A.M. - Pumas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Atlante FC (1,927) and U.N.A.M. - Pumas (1,956).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlante FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; U.N.A.M. - Pumas have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Toluca(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(away) | 0-4 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Juarez(away) | 5-1 | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlante FC score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; U.N.A.M. - Pumas score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlante FC | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlante FC sit 10th in Liga MX (4 points from 3 matches) and U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Atlante FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Atlante FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
- The Footlab model makes Atlante FC the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
- Where and when is Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas played?
- Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Banorte, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.