Atlas vs Atlante FC: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 7Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
The Footlab model makes Atlas the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Atlante FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlas vs Atlante FC?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Atlas (1,846) and Atlante FC (1,939).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlas have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Atlante FC have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tigres UANL(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Monterrey(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Toluca(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(away) | 0-4 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cruz Azul(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlas score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlante FC score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Atlante FC | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlas sit 9th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Atlante FC sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Atlas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Atlante FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Atlante FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlas vs Atlante FC?
- The Footlab model makes Atlas the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Atlante FC.
- Where and when is Atlas vs Atlante FC played?
- Atlas vs Atlante FC is played on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Jalisco, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.