Club Queretaro vs Monterrey: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Corregidora, Santiago de Querétaro
The Footlab model makes Monterrey the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Club Queretaro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club Queretaro vs Monterrey?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Club Queretaro (1,843) and Monterrey (1,940).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Queretaro have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Monterrey have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Toluca(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Dallas(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leon(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 6-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Nashville SC(home) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter Miami(away) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Orlando City SC(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Club Queretaro win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Monterrey win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | Monterrey 4-0 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Club Queretaro 0-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Club Queretaro 2-4 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Monterrey 2-1 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| Jan 25, 2024 | Monterrey 1-1 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Club Queretaro 0-0 Monterrey | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Monterrey vs Club Queretaro on Mar 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Club Queretaro score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Monterrey score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Queretaro | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Monterrey | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Queretaro sit 7th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Monterrey sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Club Queretaro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Club Queretaro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club Queretaro vs Monterrey?
- The Footlab model makes Monterrey the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Club Queretaro.
- Where and when is Club Queretaro vs Monterrey played?
- Club Queretaro vs Monterrey is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Corregidora, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.