U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 7Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de Universitario, D.F.
The Footlab model makes U.N.A.M. - Pumas the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Leon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate U.N.A.M. - Pumas (1,957) and Leon (1,880).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, U.N.A.M. - Pumas have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Leon have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Juarez(away) | 5-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Necaxa(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Inter Miami(away) | 3-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orlando City SC(away) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Nashville SC(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 U.N.A.M. - Pumas win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Leon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-1 Leon | Liga MX |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Leon 1-1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Leon 1-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Jul 7, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4-1 Leon | Liga MX |
| Apr 15, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-0 Leon | Liga MX |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Leon 1-1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leon score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Leon | 2.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 4th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Leon sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Leon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon?
- The Footlab model makes U.N.A.M. - Pumas the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Leon.
- Where and when is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon played?
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon is played on September 6, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de Universitario, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.