Puebla vs Toluca: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 7Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Full time
What was the result of Puebla vs Toluca?
Toluca won 0-1 on September 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 69′J. PachucaToluca (o.g.)
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Toluca win at 59%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Puebla vs Toluca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Puebla
4-1-4-1- 19I. Maestro Puch
- 22C. Baltazar
- 24A. Organista
- 10M. Tomás
- 27B. Garnica
- 21S. Sanabria
- 7F. Monárrez
- 4J. Vargas
- 5F. Almada
- 20J. Pachuca
- 28R. Gutiérrez
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 26Paulinho
- 20J. Gallardo
- 10J. Angulo
- 16F. Viñas
- 8N. Castro
- 5F. Romero
- 25E. López
- 6F. Pereira
- 4B. Méndez
- 2D. Barbosa
- 22L. García
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puebla have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Toluca have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Necaxa(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Club America(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Santos Laguna(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CF Pachuca(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2026 | San Diego(away) | 2-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 5-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Monterrey(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Leon(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 31, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Austin(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Puebla win, 2 draws, 3 Toluca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Puebla 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Toluca 3-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Puebla 0-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Toluca 5-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Puebla 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Toluca 0-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Puebla score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Toluca | 2.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puebla sit 9th in Liga MX (15 points from 11 matches) and Toluca sit 2nd (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 9 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 15 |
A question about Puebla vs Toluca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy