Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 7Kick-off on September 7, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
The Footlab model makes Cruz Azul the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Santos Laguna. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna?
Cruz Azul is a heavy favourite: 2,040 Elo points against 1,715 — a 325-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cruz Azul have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Santos Laguna have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Chicago Fire(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | New York City FC(home) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(home) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Puebla(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(away) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Chicago Fire(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | New York City FC(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cruz Azul win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Santos Laguna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Santos Laguna 1-2 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Cruz Azul 3-2 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Santos Laguna 0-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Cruz Azul 2-0 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Santos Laguna 3-0 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Cruz Azul 2-2 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cruz Azul score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Santos Laguna score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Santos Laguna | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruz Azul sit 6th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Santos Laguna sit 17th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna?
- The Footlab model makes Cruz Azul the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Santos Laguna.
- Where and when is Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna played?
- Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna is played on September 7, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Banorte, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.