Club America vs Club Tijuana: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 7Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
The Footlab model makes Club America the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Club Tijuana. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club America vs Club Tijuana?
Club America starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,012 vs 1,910).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club America have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Club Tijuana have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Portland Timbers(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Santos Laguna(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Cruz Azul(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Portland Timbers(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | San Diego(away) | 0-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Austin(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Club America win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Club Tijuana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Club Tijuana 0-0 Club America | Liga MX |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Club America 3-1 Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Club America 1-1 Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Club Tijuana 2-2 Club America | Liga MX |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Club Tijuana 2-2 Club America | Liga MX |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Club Tijuana 0-2 Club America | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Club Tijuana vs Club America on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Club America score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Club Tijuana score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club America | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Club Tijuana | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club America sit 1st in Liga MX (7 points from 3 matches) and Club Tijuana sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 1 | Club America | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Club Tijuana | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club America vs Club Tijuana?
- The Footlab model makes Club America the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Club Tijuana.
- Where and when is Club America vs Club Tijuana played?
- Club America vs Club Tijuana is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Banorte, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.