Guadalajara vs Atlético Astorga: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara
The Footlab AI model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Atlético Astorga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guadalajara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,515 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guadalajara vs Atlético Astorga?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Guadalajara (1,891) and Atlético Astorga (1,883).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guadalajara vs Atlético Astorga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guadalajara
Not enough data to predict the Guadalajara lineup.
Atlético Astorga
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Astorga lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 05:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Atlético Astorga have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Compostela(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guadalajara score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Astorga score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Atlético Astorga | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Guadalajara | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Guadalajara vs Atlético Astorga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guadalajara vs Atlético Astorga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Atlético Astorga.
- Where and when is Guadalajara vs Atlético Astorga played?
- Guadalajara vs Atlético Astorga is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Escartín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027CF TalaveravsNumancia
- Mar 21, 2027ConquensevsCalvo Sotelo
- Mar 21, 2027NavalcarnerovsRSD Alcalá
- Mar 21, 2027Gimnástica SegovianavsAlbacete II
- Mar 21, 2027SS ReyesvsGetafe II
- Mar 21, 2027Real Valladolid IIvsAtlético Tordesillas
- Mar 21, 2027Real ÁvilavsA Madrid III
- Mar 21, 2027CalamochavsSalamanca UDS