Calvo Sotelo vs Real Ávila: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, Puertollano
The Footlab AI model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Real Ávila. The most likely score is 1-1. If Calvo Sotelo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,517 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Real Ávila?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Calvo Sotelo (1,881) and Real Ávila (1,862).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Calvo Sotelo vs Real Ávila
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Calvo Sotelo
Not enough data to predict the Calvo Sotelo lineup.
Real Ávila
4-3-1-2- 9D. Lorenzo
- 12Carlos Pérez
- 28M. Sarr
- 7Runy
- 16M. Ruiz
- 8Filipe Sissé
- 22F. Garrido Diaz
- 23G. L. Urbina
- 5C. Pascual
- 3Michael Ngaah
- 1O. Lopez
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 05:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calvo Sotelo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Real Ávila have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Guadalajara(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Paso(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Numancia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Calvo Sotelo wins, 0 draws, 1 Real Ávila win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Ávila 2-1 Calvo Sotelo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Real Ávila vs Calvo Sotelo on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Calvo Sotelo score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Ávila score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvo Sotelo | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Ávila | 1.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Calvo Sotelo sit 16th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (6 points from 8 matches) and Real Ávila sit 15th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Real Ávila | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 7 |
| 16 | Calvo Sotelo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Calvo Sotelo vs Real Ávila?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calvo Sotelo vs Real Ávila?
- The Footlab AI model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Real Ávila.
- Where and when is Calvo Sotelo vs Real Ávila played?
- Calvo Sotelo vs Real Ávila is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 14, 2027Albacete IIvsSS Reyes
- Mar 14, 2027A Madrid IIIvsGuadalajara