RSD Alcalá vs Conquense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, Alcalá de Henares
The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-1. If Conquense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Conquense?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate RSD Alcalá (1,869) and Conquense (1,947).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for RSD Alcalá vs Conquense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
RSD Alcalá
4-3-3- 10Izan
- 23I. Robledo
- 19N. Sanchez
- 11Javi Hernández
- 7J. Arribas
- 8S. Marcos
- 22D. Nieto
- 15Chete
- 4H. Torres
- 12M. Lopez
- 1I. Gil
Conquense
Not enough data to predict the Conquense lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RSD Alcalá have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Conquense have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 5-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Guadalajara(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 RSD Alcalá win, 1 draw, 1 Conquense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Conquense 2-1 RSD Alcalá | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | RSD Alcalá 2-1 Conquense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Aug 19, 2021 | RSD Alcalá 0-0 Conquense | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Conquense vs RSD Alcalá on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Conquense score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSD Alcalá | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Conquense | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RSD Alcalá sit 11th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (7 points from 6 matches) and Conquense sit 2nd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Conquense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 13 |
| 11 | RSD Alcalá | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
A question about RSD Alcalá vs Conquense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RSD Alcalá vs Conquense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for RSD Alcalá.
- Where and when is RSD Alcalá vs Conquense played?
- RSD Alcalá vs Conquense is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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