Match

Numancia vs Real Valladolid II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 · Matchday 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria

NumanciaReal Valladolid II

The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Real Valladolid II. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,441 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Numancia vs Real Valladolid II?

On Elo ratings, Numancia has 1,953 points and Real Valladolid II 1,884.

63%20%17%
Numancia winDrawReal Valladolid II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Numancia vs Real Valladolid II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Numancia

4-4-2
  1. 18Pablo Cortés
  2. 9Jony González
  1. 14César Moreno
  2. 19I. Leon
  3. 8M. Gning
  4. 16H. Torondel
  1. 23Borja López
  2. 4Pelayo Suárez
  3. 5Fran González
  4. 27S. Flores
  1. 13G. Sunico

Real Valladolid II

Not enough data to predict the Real Valladolid II lineup.

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 04:59 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Numancia have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Real Valladolid II have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Numancia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Calvo Sotelo(home)6-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 1, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(away)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 29, 2026Oviedo(home)3-3Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Navalcarnero(home)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 18, 2026CF Talavera(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Real Valladolid II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Real Madrid III(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 1, 2026Getafe II(home)4-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 25, 2026Guadalajara(away)4-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 18, 2026Real Ávila(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Numancia wins, 3 draws, 0 Real Valladolid II wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Real Valladolid II 1-1 NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 2, 2025Numancia 3-1 Real Valladolid IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 27, 2025Real Valladolid II 1-3 NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Dec 15, 2024Numancia 3-1 Real Valladolid IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Feb 21, 2021Real Valladolid II 1-1 NumanciaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 28, 2020Numancia 2-2 Real Valladolid IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Real Valladolid II vs Numancia on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Numancia score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Real Valladolid II score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Numancia1.50.886/156/15
Real Valladolid II2.11.357/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Numancia sit 1st in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (19 points from 10 matches) and Real Valladolid II sit 6th (17 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Numancia1054116519
6Real Valladolid II10523221617

A question about Numancia vs Real Valladolid II?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Numancia vs Real Valladolid II?
The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Real Valladolid II.
Where and when is Numancia vs Real Valladolid II played?
Numancia vs Real Valladolid II is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Numancia and Real Valladolid II