Match

Navalcarnero vs Salamanca UDS: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de San Francisco, Reinosa

NavalcarneroSalamanca UDS

The Footlab model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Salamanca UDS. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Navalcarnero vs Salamanca UDS?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Navalcarnero (1,860) and Salamanca UDS (1,874).

Navalcarnero win44 %
Draw28 %
Salamanca UDS win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Navalcarnero have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Salamanca UDS have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Navalcarnero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Fuenlabrada(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Colonia Moscardó(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Conquense(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026CD Coria(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Salamanca UDS
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)0-5Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Lealtad(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Burgos Promesas(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Navalcarnero win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Salamanca UDS win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 27, 2022Salamanca UDS 1-0 NavalcarneroSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 7, 2021Navalcarnero 2-0 Salamanca UDSSegunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Salamanca UDS vs Navalcarnero on Mar 27, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Navalcarnero score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Salamanca UDS score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Navalcarnero1.31.537/158/15
Salamanca UDS1.01.537/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Navalcarnero34111013404243

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Navalcarnero vs Salamanca UDS?
The Footlab model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Salamanca UDS.
Where and when is Navalcarnero vs Salamanca UDS played?
Navalcarnero vs Salamanca UDS is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Navalcarnero and Salamanca UDS

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