Atlético Astorga vs Real Valladolid II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Eragudina, Astorga
The Footlab model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Real Valladolid II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Real Valladolid II?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Atlético Astorga (1,888) and Real Valladolid II (1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Astorga have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Real Valladolid II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | La Bañeza(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Atlético Astorga win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Real Valladolid II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Atlético Astorga 1-4 Real Valladolid II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Real Valladolid II 1-3 Atlético Astorga | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Astorga vs Real Valladolid II on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Astorga score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Valladolid II score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Astorga | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Valladolid II | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Astorga vs Real Valladolid II?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Real Valladolid II.
- Where and when is Atlético Astorga vs Real Valladolid II played?
- Atlético Astorga vs Real Valladolid II is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Eragudina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.