Atlético Baleares vs Castellonense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Balear, Palma de Mallorca, Illes Balears
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Baleares the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Castellonense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Baleares wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Baleares vs Castellonense?
On Elo ratings, Atlético Baleares has 2,000 points and Castellonense 1,905.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Baleares vs Castellonense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Baleares
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Baleares lineup.
Castellonense
4-3-3- 9I. Garijo
- 15Didac Castellá
- 16J. Rodriguez
- 18Diego de Pedro
- 19J. Winstanley
- 10A. Murillo
- 3Primi Férriz
- 5S. Candel
- 22C. Badal Andani
- 7J. Pulpon
- 1J. Company
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 11:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Baleares have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Castellonense have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 0-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Valencia II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Baleares score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Castellonense score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Baleares | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Castellonense | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Baleares sit 6th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (13 points from 9 matches) and Castellonense sit 3rd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Castellonense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Atlético Baleares | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Atlético Baleares vs Castellonense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Baleares vs Castellonense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Baleares the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Castellonense.
- Where and when is Atlético Baleares vs Castellonense played?
- Atlético Baleares vs Castellonense is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Balear, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.