Mallorca II vs Peña Deportiva: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Son Bibiloni (Antonio Asensio), Palma de Mallorca
The Footlab model makes Mallorca II the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Peña Deportiva. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mallorca II vs Peña Deportiva?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Mallorca II (1,973) and Peña Deportiva (1,928).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mallorca II have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Peña Deportiva have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 7-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Binissalem(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 30, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mallorca II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Peña Deportiva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Peña Deportiva 2-2 Mallorca II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Mallorca II 1-0 Peña Deportiva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Mallorca II 1-0 Peña Deportiva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Peña Deportiva 2-1 Mallorca II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Peña Deportiva 2-0 Mallorca II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Mallorca II 1-1 Peña Deportiva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Peña Deportiva vs Mallorca II on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mallorca II score 3.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Peña Deportiva score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca II | 3.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Peña Deportiva | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mallorca II sit 17th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (18 points from 34 matches) and Peña Deportiva sit 15th (35 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Peña Deportiva | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 42 | 35 |
| 17 | Mallorca II | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 61 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mallorca II vs Peña Deportiva?
- The Footlab model makes Mallorca II the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Peña Deportiva.
- Where and when is Mallorca II vs Peña Deportiva played?
- Mallorca II vs Peña Deportiva is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Son Bibiloni (Antonio Asensio), in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.