Real Murcia II vs Poblense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campus Universitario, Murcia
The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia II the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Poblense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Murcia II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Murcia II vs Poblense?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Real Murcia II (1,836) and Poblense (1,935).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Murcia II vs Poblense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Murcia II
Not enough data to predict the Real Murcia II lineup.
Poblense
4-3-3- 11Marco
- 19Alberto Fernández
- 11Aitor Pons
- 8M. Femenias
- 18G. Teruel
- 16Payeras Marti
- 6Joan Salvà
- 3J. Payeras
- 15Pep Vidal
- 20Juan Suasi
- 1Vincenç Sabater
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Murcia II have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Poblense have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Yeclano(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Castellonense(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 1-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Murcia II score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Poblense score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Murcia II | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Poblense | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Murcia II sit 15th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (8 points from 8 matches) and Poblense sit 13th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Poblense | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
| 15 | Real Murcia II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Real Murcia II vs Poblense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Murcia II vs Poblense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia II the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Poblense.
- Where and when is Real Murcia II vs Poblense played?
- Real Murcia II vs Poblense is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Campus Universitario, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.