Orihuela vs Elche II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Los Arcos, Orihuela
The Footlab model makes Orihuela the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Elche II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orihuela vs Elche II?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Orihuela (1,846) and Elche II (1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orihuela have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Elche II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tenerife II(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Orihuela win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Elche II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Orihuela 1-1 Elche II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Elche II 2-5 Orihuela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Orihuela 0-0 Elche II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 5, 2022 | Elche II 1-2 Orihuela | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Feb 9, 2022 | Elche II 1-1 Orihuela | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Orihuela 1-0 Elche II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Orihuela score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Elche II score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orihuela | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Elche II | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Elche II | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orihuela vs Elche II?
- The Footlab model makes Orihuela the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Elche II.
- Where and when is Orihuela vs Elche II played?
- Orihuela vs Elche II is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Los Arcos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.